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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Jesetradingjoseph00677ndb1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)74% (602–215, n=817)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (888–469, n=1357)50% (19560–19625, n=39185)
Consensus PnL$7.5K$5.6M$4.2M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #899PM monthly #1PM monthly #150PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus50% (10 of 20 open)no open consensus position74% (35 of 47 open)67% (80 of 119 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won72% of 407 at avg 67¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 16% of 90)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 42% of 33)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 85% of 26)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up63% (won 94% of 258)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.