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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| JamesAltucher | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (98–62, n=160) | 50% (1120–1127, n=2247) | 47% (14272–15777, n=30049) |
| Consensus PnL | $18K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #531 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (6 of 6 open) | 41% (12 of 29 open) | 58% (47 of 81 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −1 pts, n=101 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 38% of 228 at avg 36¢, ROI 0% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 56% (won 3% of 128) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 43% of 14) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 78% of 18) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 68) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | JamesAltucher | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska vs. Illinois: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $13K | Under $13K |
| Spread: Nebraska (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | Nebraska $1.7K | Illinois $2.6K |
| Spread: Nebraska (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | Nebraska $1.8K | Illinois $2.2K |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | Nevada $1.5K | New Mexico $2.3K |
| Spread: Illinois (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | Nebraska $15 | Illinois $3.2K |
| Spread: New Mexico (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | Nevada $787 | New Mexico $1.5K |
| Spread: Illinois (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | Nebraska $663 | Illinois $1.5K |
| Spread: Illinois (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | Nebraska $1.1K | Illinois $990 |
| Spread: Illinois (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | Nebraska $272 | Illinois $1.5K |
| Spread: Illinois (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nebraska | — | Nebraska $1.1K | Illinois $416 |
| Spread: Illinois (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | Nebraska $925 | Illinois $520 |
| Spread: New Mexico (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | Nevada $259 | New Mexico $701 |
| Spread: Illinois (-10.5) same side · consensus Nebraska | — | Nebraska $527 | Nebraska $1.1K |
| Spread: Nebraska (-6.5) same side · consensus Illinois | — | Illinois $194 | Illinois $770 |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 35.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $142 | Over $112 |