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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | robustmst | smithagent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (208–178, n=386) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 42% (13–18, n=31) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $230K | $152K | $208K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #31 | PM monthly #28 | was PM monthly #873 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (108 of 162 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 78% (7 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 25% (won 100% of 12) | 85% (won 100% of 11) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 44% (won 100% of 21) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 29% (won 100% of 14) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | robustmst | smithagent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers vs. Bucks same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $14K | — | — | Lakers $53 |
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats same side · consensus Abilene Christian Wildcats | Abilene Christian Wildcats $53 | — | — | Abilene Christian Wildcats $3 |