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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | MD14 | paintscrel | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (481–419, n=900) | 81% (22–5, n=27) | 0% (0–3, n=3) | 58% (11–8, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $363K | $328K | -$4.6K | $782K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #118 | was PM monthly #954 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (147 of 231 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | — | 92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 4% (won 0% of 1) | — | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | — | 58% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 21% (won 80% of 5) | — | 33% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 63% (won 100% of 15) | — | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | MD14 | paintscrel | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | — | Gen.G $3 | Bilibili Gaming $91K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner same side · consensus Gen.G | — | — | Gen.G $3.9K | Gen.G $383K |