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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
GdubprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)75% (549–184, n=733)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$13K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #999PM monthly #52PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus83% (10 of 12 open)78% (14 of 18 open)60% (114 of 191 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicElections −1 pts, n=146——
Settled positions, side won77% of 779 at avg 74¢, ROI +1%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 15% of 95)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 41% of 59)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 67% of 70)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up71% (won 93% of 555)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGdubprimmRN1
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $2.8KUMass $358
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $2.4KSacramento State $631
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.9KUnder $3
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $996Sacramento State $524
Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $277Sacramento State $466
Spread: Ball State (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $201UMass $125
Spread: Ball State (-5.5)
same side · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $4.4KBall State $583
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.4KOver $116
Spread: Ball State (-4.5)
same side · consensus UMass
—Ball State $22Ball State $1.3K