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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Gaditima | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (3464–4027, n=7491) | 48% (11699–12471, n=24170) | 69% (43–19, n=62) | 56% (100–79, n=179) |
| Consensus PnL | -$206K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #391 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 41% (69 of 167 open) | 73% (11 of 15 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −4 pts, n=96 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 216 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 96% of 100 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 56% of 2452) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 7% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 94% of 5319) | 29% (won 57% of 63) | 24% (won 96% of 24) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 36% (won 99% of 8623) | 55% (won 53% of 118) | 44% (won 98% of 44) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 31% (won 100% of 7308) | 13% (won 86% of 29) | 25% (won 96% of 25) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Gaditima | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $142 | No $2.5K | — | — |
| KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers same side · consensus Lotte Giants | Lotte Giants $181 | Lotte Giants $44 | — | — |