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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmRaichu
Record (consensus markets)53% (5890–5273, n=11163)50% (1075–1083, n=2158)89% (8–1, n=9)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.5M$152K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #55PM monthly #435
Sides with the consensus70% (121 of 174 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 955 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%89% of 9 at avg 86¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 50)0%
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 392)0%
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 469)0%
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 44)100% (won 89% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.