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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1primmwowfarm
Record (consensus markets)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)63% (989–572, n=1561)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)76% (4220–1367, n=5587)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$3.2M$3.6M$99K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #90PM monthly #49PM monthly #536
Sides with the consensus69% (128 of 186 open)69% (59 of 86 open)63% (5 of 8 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—Tennis −9 pts, n=87
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%75% of 5354 at avg 75¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)20% (won 2% of 1095)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)2% (won 33% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)4% (won 52% of 212)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)74% (won 97% of 3965)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1primmwowfarm
Chattanooga Mocs vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
opposite sides · consensus Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State Nittany Lions $507——Chattanooga Mocs $33
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus UTSA
Florida Atlantic $57—Florida Atlantic $7.3K—