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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm | vavwqevw | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $4.2M | $3.6M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #140 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #302 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (182 of 266 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 67% of 3 at avg 76¢, ROI −10% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 33% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 67% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm | vavwqevw |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State vs. UMass opposite sides · consensus UMass | UMass $444 | — | Ball State $18 | — |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan same side · consensus Eastern Michigan | Eastern Michigan $333 | — | Eastern Michigan $2.0K | — |