← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | pizzabillgates | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6473–6009, n=12482) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 50% (3–3, n=6) | 50% (1105–1117, n=2222) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | $3.2M | -$71K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #619 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (106 of 144 open) | 69% (61 of 88 open) | 91% (31 of 34 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 50% of 8 at avg 40¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 50% (won 0% of 4) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 13% (won 100% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 412) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 0% | 50% (won 99% of 503) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 38% (won 100% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | pizzabillgates | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.7K | Yes $6.9K | — |