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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1Sniper85
Record (consensus markets)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)63% (993–578, n=1571)83% (5–1, n=6)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$4.8M$32K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #97was PM monthly #931
Sides with the consensus75% (244 of 326 open)73% (53 of 73 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 5 at avg 62¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)0%
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)20% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)40% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)40% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.