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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | lucianow34 | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (13298–10666, n=23964) | 57% (626–480, n=1106) | 63% (1101–635, n=1736) | 47% (1413–1577, n=2990) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $16K | $4.6M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #858 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #40 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (95 of 135 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (67 of 95 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | NBA −4 pts, n=26 | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 60% of 1039 at avg 53¢, ROI +4% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 5% (won 24% of 55) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 5% (won 95% of 59) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 34% (won 44% of 351) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 40% (won 99% of 512) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 49% (won 69% of 508) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 50% (won 100% of 633) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 12% (won 86% of 125) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 5% (won 100% of 65) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.