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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorplopezmartinndb1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5701–5137, n=10838)no settled market65% (870–459, n=1329)
Consensus PnL$3.3M—$4.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #561PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus73% (147 of 202 open)no open consensus position71% (25 of 35 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%56% of 16 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)25% (won 25% of 4)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)19% (won 33% of 3)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)31% (won 60% of 5)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)25% (won 100% of 4)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.