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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677waierma
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)53% (10–9, n=19)80% (75–19, n=94)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.6M$23K
Tracked asPM monthly #17PM monthly #1PM monthly #974
Sides with the consensus64% (151 of 236 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%83% of 54 at avg 72¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)11% (won 50% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)7% (won 25% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)11% (won 83% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)70% (won 95% of 38)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677waierma
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.0K—Yes $18
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $713—Yes $11