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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677scrapbook
Record (consensus markets)52% (6434–5955, n=12389)45% (10–12, n=22)54% (156–134, n=290)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.3M-$9.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #992
Sides with the consensus73% (137 of 187 open)no open consensus position67% (4 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—Economy −8 pts, n=32
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%47% of 331 at avg 41¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)38% (won 13% of 127)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)18% (won 48% of 61)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)27% (won 66% of 89)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)16% (won 91% of 54)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.