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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677primmverifly
Record (consensus markets)52% (6582–6102, n=12684)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1107–1127, n=2234)34% (131–254, n=385)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$5.3M$3.6M-$297K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #2PM monthly #48PM monthly #863
Sides with the consensus75% (85 of 113 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——Esports −1 pts, n=392
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%35% of 397 at avg 36¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)31% (won 21% of 122)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 412)56% (won 41% of 221)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)50% (won 99% of 503)13% (won 42% of 53)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)0% (won 0% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.