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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677peasant
Record (consensus markets)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)53% (10–9, n=19)62% (146–90, n=236)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.6M$138K
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #1PM monthly #505
Sides with the consensus64% (266 of 418 open)no open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—Politics −6 pts, n=50
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%59% of 258 at avg 57¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)21% (won 11% of 54)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)17% (won 37% of 43)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)22% (won 63% of 56)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)41% (won 90% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.