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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)55% (13343–10705, n=24048)43% (10–13, n=23)63% (1101–635, n=1736)60% (7277–4810, n=12087)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$3.2M$4.6M$58K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #109PM monthly #513
Sides with the consensus67% (82 of 122 open)no open consensus position71% (67 of 95 open)71% (40 of 56 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12—NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%98% of 2634 at avg 63¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 196)6% (won 89% of 166)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)18% (won 40% of 283)20% (won 96% of 525)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 58% of 348)34% (won 98% of 899)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)46% (won 94% of 710)40% (won 100% of 1044)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $6
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
opposite sides · consensus Adrian Andreev
Adrian Andreev $4.7K——Nikita Mashtakov $18
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.8K——No $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $872——Over $7
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $228Yes $133