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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1Newshound
Record (consensus markets)52% (6417–5939, n=12356)45% (10–12, n=22)66% (901–474, n=1375)57% (787–594, n=1381)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.3M$4.5M$40K
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #2PM monthly #100PM monthly #907
Sides with the consensus73% (131 of 180 open)no open consensus position72% (109 of 151 open)33% (25 of 75 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%72% of 984 at avg 60¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)22% (won 24% of 221)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)13% (won 64% of 124)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)18% (won 76% of 174)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)47% (won 95% of 465)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1Newshound
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $1.0MYes $29