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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677Pondermint
Record (consensus markets)52% (6585–6162, n=12747)45% (10–12, n=22)67% (426–207, n=633)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$5.3M$168K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #2PM monthly #399
Sides with the consensus69% (183 of 264 open)no open consensus position38% (3 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—MLB −2 pts, n=89
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%71% of 492 at avg 71¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 11% of 65)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)11% (won 36% of 53)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)12% (won 61% of 57)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)64% (won 90% of 317)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.