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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjayemeceejoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)52% (6555–6124, n=12679)38% (35–58, n=93)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)
Consensus PnL$3.7M-$1.5K$5.3M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #13was PM monthly #993PM monthly #2PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus72% (298 of 415 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15Soccer −3 pts, n=52——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%38% of 93 at avg 39¢, ROI −1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)25% (won 22% of 23)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)49% (won 33% of 46)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)20% (won 58% of 19)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 80% of 5)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.