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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorphell0piandb1primm
Record (consensus markets)52% (6615–6145, n=12760)59% (71–49, n=120)63% (993–576, n=1569)50% (1116–1128, n=2244)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$116K$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #843PM monthly #92PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus79% (115 of 146 open)60% (3 of 5 open)67% (52 of 78 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NBA −32 pts, n=10NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%60% of 119 at avg 58¢, ROI +7%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)18% (won 29% of 21)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)12% (won 50% of 14)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)36% (won 63% of 43)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)34% (won 76% of 41)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.