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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpglennyorkshirejoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)45% (176–219, n=395)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL$3.3M-$169$5.6M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #22was PM monthly #901PM monthly #3PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus63% (160 of 253 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position56% (10 of 18 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NFL +7 pts n=51, ROI −8%
  • MLB +12 pts n=18, ROI +19%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Soccer −4 pts, n=199——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%53% of 372 at avg 55¢, ROI 0%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)6% (won 13% of 23)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)28% (won 45% of 103)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)48% (won 55% of 177)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)19% (won 74% of 69)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpglennyorkshirejoseph00677primm
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—UMass $509—Ball State $2.4K
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
same side · consensus Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan $343——Eastern Michigan $2.4K