Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpfrgdrgdrgdg3434ndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)80% (4–1, n=5)65% (889–469, n=1358)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$21K$4.2M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #17was PM monthly #999PM monthly #139PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus66% (287 of 438 open)no open consensus position73% (33 of 45 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 4 at avg 61¢, ROI +37%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)0%13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)25% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)75% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)0%43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpfrgdrgdrgdg3434ndb1primm
Ball State vs. UMass
opposite sides · consensus UMass
UMass $444——Ball State $18