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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpMoneylovermanndb1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)62% (47–29, n=76)65% (902–484, n=1386)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$249K$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #808PM monthly #101
Sides with the consensus74% (140 of 190 open)no open consensus position70% (107 of 152 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +4 pts n=203, ROI +2%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%55% of 203 at avg 51¢, ROI +2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 21% of 24)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)30% (won 42% of 60)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)48% (won 64% of 97)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)11% (won 86% of 22)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.