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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpMSKW22222ndb1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6434–5955, n=12389)no settled market65% (901–484, n=1385)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$50K$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #732PM monthly #101
Sides with the consensus73% (138 of 189 open)67% (2 of 3 open)70% (106 of 151 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)—13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)—20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)—24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)—43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpMSKW22222ndb1
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $9.4KNo $1.0M