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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677MSKW22222ndb1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)45% (10–12, n=22)no settled market63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.3M$53K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #663PM monthly #102
Sides with the consensus73% (208 of 286 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)72% (95 of 132 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)—13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)—20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)—24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)—43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677MSKW22222ndb1
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $9.4KYes $1.0M