Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpJ-E-R
Record (consensus markets)52% (6403–5995, n=12398)44% (164–208, n=372)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$40K
Tracked asPM monthly #11was PM monthly #418
Sides with the consensus76% (251 of 332 open)88% (63 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +3 pts n=21, ROI −1%
  • F1 +4 pts n=53, ROI +4%
  • Politics +2 pts n=33, ROI +2%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Elections −1 pts, n=78
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%28% of 377 at avg 27¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)70% (won 4% of 263)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)4% (won 53% of 15)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)6% (won 70% of 23)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)20% (won 92% of 76)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.