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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | Haradwaith | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6475–6058, n=12533) | 39% (3336–5179, n=8515) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7M | -$469K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #256 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (245 of 354 open) | 74% (503 of 677 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Weather −6 pts, n=584 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 36% of 4042 at avg 39¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 56% (won 3% of 2267) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 4% (won 33% of 170) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 4% (won 48% of 166) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 36% (won 89% of 1439) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | Haradwaith |
|---|---|---|
| South Florida vs. East Carolina same side · consensus South Florida | East Carolina $81 | East Carolina $10 |