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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| FakePolls | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (240–148, n=388) | 50% (1120–1127, n=2247) | 47% (14272–15777, n=30049) |
| Consensus PnL | $199K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #201 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (9 of 13 open) | 30% (6 of 20 open) | 50% (33 of 66 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 281 at avg 66¢, ROI +17% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 48% of 27) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 65% of 37) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 89% of 63) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 98% of 154) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | FakePolls | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Arizona (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | TCU $7.6K | Arizona $621 |
| Spread: New Mexico (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | Nevada $787 | New Mexico $1.5K |
| Spread: Arizona (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | TCU $747 | Arizona $1.1K |
| Spread: Arizona (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | TCU $275 | Arizona $848 |
| Spread: New Mexico (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | Nevada $259 | New Mexico $701 |
| TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 43.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $332 | Over $1.3K |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 35.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $142 | Over $112 |