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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ExoticApple12 | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (1211–1238, n=2449) | 43% (11761–15331, n=27092) | 63% (1101–635, n=1736) | 48% (19574–21323, n=40897) |
| Consensus PnL | $172K | -$9.4M | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #398 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 70% (7 of 10 open) | 71% (67 of 95 open) | 61% (17 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 1244 at avg 52¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 93% of 42) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 431) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 55% (won 98% of 684) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 87) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ExoticApple12 | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev same side · consensus Adrian Andreev | — | Adrian Andreev $15K | — | Adrian Andreev $2.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $360 |
| Hersonissos 3: Alexandre Reco vs Lorenzo Carboni same side · consensus Lorenzo Carboni | — | Lorenzo Carboni $26 | — | Lorenzo Carboni $343 |