← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| End123 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (277–146, n=423) | 65% (902–484, n=1386) |
| Consensus PnL | -$17K | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #807 | PM monthly #101 |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (37 of 40 open) | 71% (107 of 151 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| Weakest topic | NFL −18 pts, n=18 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 422 at avg 63¢, ROI −1% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 11% of 57) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 42% of 43) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 63% of 132) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 45% (won 86% of 190) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | End123 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|
| Will Jaylen Waddle have 674.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $364 | No $505 |
| Will Jacory Croskey-Merritt have 574.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $149 | No $529 |
| Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? same side · consensus No | No $653 | No $243 |
| Will the season series between the Cardinals and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25 | Yes $257 |