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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ElonSpam | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (1263–1552, n=2815) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $88K | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #817 | PM monthly #22 + pinned | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 58% (59 of 102 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −24 pts, n=16 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 3104 at avg 47¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 34% (won 9% of 1048) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 39% of 465) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 59% of 733) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 92% of 858) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ElonSpam | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oilers vs. Devils opposite sides · consensus Devils | Oilers $2.0K | Devils $3.3K | — |
| Hurricanes vs. Predators opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | Hurricanes $2.0K | Predators $860 | — |
| Ducks vs. Canucks same side · consensus Ducks | Ducks $1.4K | Ducks $614 | — |