PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EMCSQColdWNiNo99900gringo00
Record (consensus markets)no settled market66% (1767–904, n=2671)45% (551–664, n=1215)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL—$235K-$502K$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #533was PM monthly #893was PM monthly #985was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +56 pts n=25, ROI +55%
  • Tennis +40 pts n=243, ROI +40%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=186, ROI +39%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=310——
Settled positions, side won74% of 677 at avg 67¢, ROI +11%58% of 2474 at avg 56¢, ROI +4%90% of 616 at avg 50¢, ROI +39%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 20% of 164)22% (won 12% of 551)8% (won 76% of 49)0%
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 62% of 39)20% (won 41% of 495)39% (won 87% of 242)0%
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 72% of 64)22% (won 63% of 534)48% (won 94% of 298)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up61% (won 97% of 410)36% (won 93% of 894)4% (won 96% of 27)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.