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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
E100hrall012u312nc0cgvvbvc8Flaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)13% (86–600, n=686)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)63% (1100–635, n=1735)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)
Consensus PnL$854$1.4M$4.6M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #791PM monthly #14PM monthly #110PM monthly #40
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)65% (143 of 220 open)71% (67 of 94 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢—30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)5% (won 95% of 59)
Entries 30–50¢—15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)40% (won 99% of 512)
Entries 50–70¢—14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)50% (won 100% of 633)
Entries 70¢ and up—42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)5% (won 100% of 65)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketE100hrall012u312nc0cgvvbvc8Flaznorpndb1primm
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $35Over $51——