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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| DamwonChampions2026 | notgoodluck | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (528–396, n=924) | 63% (209–125, n=334) | 45% (484–601, n=1085) | 48% (12121–12955, n=25076) |
| Consensus PnL | $538K | -$49K | $9.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #547 | PM monthly #616 | PM monthly #1 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 75% (27 of 36 open) | 51% (21 of 41 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tennis −14 pts, n=12 | Soccer −8 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 884 at avg 52¢, ROI +5% | 60% of 346 at avg 59¢, ROI −3% | 98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 25% (won 3% of 217) | 16% (won 14% of 56) | 11% (won 87% of 52) | 10% (won 56% of 2452) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 34% of 168) | 20% (won 36% of 70) | 34% (won 98% of 169) | 22% (won 94% of 5319) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 80% of 206) | 29% (won 63% of 99) | 34% (won 99% of 170) | 36% (won 99% of 8623) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 95% of 293) | 35% (won 92% of 121) | 21% (won 100% of 103) | 31% (won 100% of 7308) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | DamwonChampions2026 | notgoodluck | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | — | Nuggets $317K | Warriors $1.2K |