PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DamwonChampions2026BanfieldChrisBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (528–396, n=924)69% (25–11, n=36)45% (484–601, n=1085)48% (12121–12955, n=25076)
Consensus PnL$538K$29K$9.6M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #547PM monthly #688PM monthly #1Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position75% (27 of 36 open)55% (22 of 40 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=275, ROI +38%
Weakest topicTennis −14 pts, n=12———
Settled positions, side won57% of 884 at avg 52¢, ROI +5%96% of 24 at avg 50¢, ROI +44%98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢25% (won 3% of 217)4% (won 0% of 1)11% (won 87% of 52)10% (won 56% of 2452)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 34% of 168)29% (won 100% of 7)34% (won 98% of 169)22% (won 94% of 5319)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 80% of 206)67% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 99% of 170)36% (won 99% of 8623)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 95% of 293)0%21% (won 100% of 103)31% (won 100% of 7308)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDamwonChampions2026BanfieldChrisBreakTheBankRN1
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Nuggets $317KWarriors $1.2K