PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Da3vilRN1omnibus-076daabeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (12083–12906, n=24989)50% (13566–13694, n=27260)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL—$13.4M$3.5M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #815PM monthly #17 + pinnedPM monthly #15was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (3 of 3 open)50% (2 of 4 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=91
Settled positions, side won63% of 16 at avg 29¢, ROI +26%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢44% (won 71% of 7)10% (won 56% of 2478)8% (won 59% of 860)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢56% (won 56% of 9)22% (won 94% of 5361)21% (won 86% of 2252)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢0%36% (won 99% of 8705)39% (won 94% of 4102)54% (won 52% of 114)
Entries 70¢ and up0%31% (won 100% of 7425)32% (won 99% of 3425)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDa3vilRN1omnibus-076daabeachboy4
Seoul: Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong-Chan Hong
opposite sides · consensus Seong-Chan Hong
—Seong-Chan Hong $425Alibek Kachmazov $7—