PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DOG-UndressedVersionololololololololoBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)84% (900–173, n=1073)49% (21–22, n=43)45% (501–606, n=1107)48% (11697–12463, n=24160)
Consensus PnL$14K$217K$9.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #190was PM monthly #991PM monthly #1Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (6 of 9 open)73% (24 of 33 open)69% (9 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports −2 pts, n=10———
Settled positions, side won77% of 597 at avg 75¢, ROI +1%96% of 26 at avg 59¢, ROI +21%97% of 497 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 23802 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 9% of 89)12% (won 67% of 3)11% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2460)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 40% of 30)27% (won 100% of 7)34% (won 98% of 169)22% (won 94% of 5332)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 63% of 48)23% (won 100% of 6)34% (won 99% of 170)36% (won 99% of 8653)
Entries 70¢ and up72% (won 95% of 430)38% (won 100% of 10)21% (won 100% of 105)31% (won 100% of 7357)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.