Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfndb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)65% (474–253, n=727)63% (1101–635, n=1736)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)48% (19652–21409, n=41061)
Consensus PnL$24K$4.6M$3.7M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #484PM monthly #109PM monthly #41PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)70% (67 of 96 open)no open consensus position59% (16 of 27 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +5 pts n=197, ROI +7%
  • NBA +6 pts n=73, ROI +2%
  • NFL +7 pts n=47, ROI +16%
Weakest topicCrypto −10 pts, n=22NFL −7 pts, n=158——
Settled positions, side won64% of 627 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 15% of 110)13% (won 14% of 196)5% (won 95% of 59)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 47% of 100)18% (won 40% of 283)40% (won 99% of 512)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 57% of 158)23% (won 58% of 348)50% (won 100% of 633)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 95% of 259)46% (won 94% of 710)5% (won 100% of 65)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfndb1primmRN1
Duke Blue Devils vs. North Texas Mean Green (W)
opposite sides · consensus Duke Blue Devils
North Texas Mean Green $1.8K——Duke Blue Devils $43