Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorpndb1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (7602–6859, n=14461)64% (1097–630, n=1727)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL—$4.1M$4.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #969PM monthly #10PM monthly #98PM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)66% (105 of 159 open)73% (111 of 152 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +5 pts n=197, ROI +7%
  • NBA +6 pts n=73, ROI +2%
  • NFL +7 pts n=47, ROI +16%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicCrypto −10 pts, n=22Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won64% of 627 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 15% of 110)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 47% of 100)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 57% of 158)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 95% of 259)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorpndb1S-Works
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—No $151No $115—