PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CORGIIbeachboy4RN1primm
Record (consensus markets)63% (375–222, n=597)69% (43–19, n=62)48% (11709–12487, n=24196)49% (823–849, n=1672)
Consensus PnL$4.4M$5.8M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #126was PM monthly #24Hand-pickedPM monthly #22
Sides with the consensus25% (1 of 4 open)100% (2 of 2 open)50% (15 of 30 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=91——
Settled positions, side won98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 784 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 91% of 35)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2460)5% (won 93% of 42)
Entries 30–50¢55% (won 99% of 209)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5335)41% (won 99% of 322)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 100% of 128)54% (won 52% of 114)36% (won 99% of 8653)49% (won 99% of 383)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7361)5% (won 100% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCORGIIbeachboy4RN1primm
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
same side · consensus Spirit
MOUZ $12K—MOUZ $37K—