PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bunnycatbeachboy4sainttroplayomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)88% (77–11, n=88)68% (43–20, n=63)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (13637–13763, n=27400)
Consensus PnL$9.0K$5.8M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #764was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #11PM monthly #21
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position67% (16 of 24 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won98% of 80 at avg 71¢, ROI +29%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 1)3% (won 17% of 6)0%8% (won 59% of 860)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 71% of 7)29% (won 56% of 62)50% (won 100% of 5)21% (won 86% of 2252)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 100% of 26)54% (won 51% of 115)50% (won 100% of 5)39% (won 94% of 4102)
Entries 70¢ and up57% (won 100% of 46)14% (won 86% of 29)0%32% (won 99% of 3425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.