← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | scrapbook | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 53% (156–140, n=296) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | -$9.5K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #999 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (26 of 34 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Economy −8 pts, n=32 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 47% of 331 at avg 41¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 38% (won 13% of 127) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 18% (won 48% of 61) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 27% (won 66% of 89) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 16% (won 91% of 54) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | scrapbook |
|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $90K | Yes $105 |