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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | xxNyx | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | no settled market | 84% (1246–233, n=1479) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | — | $84K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | — | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (39 of 57 open) | no open consensus position | 79% (45 of 57 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Elections −5 pts, n=70 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | — | 81% of 1845 at avg 79¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | — | 13% (won 9% of 249) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | — | 5% (won 51% of 89) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | — | 6% (won 56% of 108) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | — | 76% (won 97% of 1399) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | xxNyx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $19K | — | Yes $654 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $376K | — | Yes $2.0K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $240K | — | Yes $2.0K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $235K | — | No $956 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $167K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $55K | — | No $2.1K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.4K | — | Yes $4.6K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $795 | — | No $930 |