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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankprimmzwaaan
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)50% (1114–1128, n=2242)52% (124–114, n=238)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$353
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #50was PM monthly #257
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)no open consensus position36% (4 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——Crypto −5 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%53% of 141 at avg 51¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)23% (won 6% of 33)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)41% (won 99% of 412)18% (won 19% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)50% (won 99% of 503)27% (won 76% of 38)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)31% (won 89% of 44)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.