← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 50% (15092–15111, n=30203) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $4.2M | $3.0M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #58 | PM monthly #48 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (16 of 28 open) | 74% (34 of 46 open) | 51% (74 of 146 open) | 66% (19 of 29 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs. Pistons opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $195K | — | 76ers $721 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $29K | — | Pelicans $4 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $17K | — | Pelicans $4 | — |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | — | UMass $564 | Ball State $2.4K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.0K | — | Yes $153 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $330K | — | Grizzlies $3 | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $22K | — | Yes $117 | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | Yes $215 | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.6K | — | Yes $69 | — |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan same side · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Eastern Michigan $6 | Eastern Michigan $2.4K |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $516 | — | Yes $29 | — |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $28 | — | Yes $41 | — |