← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | notfairplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 63% (993–576, n=1569) | 19% (99–410, n=509) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $4.8M | $17K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #742 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 69% (52 of 75 open) | 0% (0 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Crypto −6 pts, n=500 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 19% of 500 at avg 25¢, ROI −8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 66% (won 8% of 332) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 32% of 107) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 10% (won 54% of 50) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 2% (won 91% of 11) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | notfairplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | No $337K | — |