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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | Vanchalkenstein | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 63% (993–576, n=1569) | 53% (285–250, n=535) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $4.8M | -$1.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #583 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 69% (52 of 75 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | NBA −3 pts, n=123 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 54% of 580 at avg 49¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 24% of 58) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 47% (won 51% of 271) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 32% (won 60% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 11% (won 77% of 64) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | Vanchalkenstein |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | No $337K | — |