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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1RadioCCODRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)63% (993–578, n=1571)39% (124–190, n=314)48% (14153–15617, n=29770)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$4.8M$31K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #97PM monthly #962PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)72% (53 of 74 open)82% (162 of 197 open)55% (57 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=144Soccer −1 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%40% of 248 at avg 20¢, ROI +8%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 15% of 186)73% (won 23% of 182)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)19% (won 39% of 267)10% (won 81% of 26)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)23% (won 58% of 326)13% (won 94% of 31)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 619)4% (won 100% of 9)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1RadioCCODRN1
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $357Yes $2—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409KNo $337K——
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $78K—Yes $1.4K—